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http://www.newyorkgiantsteamonline.com/patrick-omameh-jersey , trends developing for Giants We’re three games into the 2018 NFL season, so for this week’s stats column, let’s look at a few trends that have been developing.Photo by Tim Warner/Getty ImagesPersonnel Usage: 11-personnel still rulesIf you are like me, you had more than your fill of seeing the Giants offense line up in 11-personnel as often as they did under the previous coaching regime, Well, there’s good news and bad news tinged with good news on this front.Thus far under head coach Pat Shurmur, the Giants have mixed up their offensive personnel packages to include more 12-personnel (1 back, 2 tight ends) and 21-personnel (2 backs, 1 tight end), but with that said, 11-personnel continues to reign supreme when it comes to getting the job done.All 30 points scored by the Giants offensive playmakers (I’m not counting points scored by kicker Aldrick Rosas) have come from an 11-personnel lineup. Breaking that down a little bit further, 18 of the points have come from the shotgun formation while 12 of the points have come from the empty set. Further, 261 of the Giants 958 yards of offense (27.2 personnel) have come from the 11-personnel packages.So yeah, the Giants aren’t using 11-personnel as much as they did in previous years, but the package is still worth keeping in the playbook, largely thanks to the fact that they have more options and better skill players with which to work such as running back Saquon Barkley, tight end Evan Engram, and receivers Odell Beckham Jr. and Sterling Shepard.Odell Beckham Jr.Photo by Mike Lawrie/Getty ImagesThird-down conversion rate improvesThe last time the Giants finished an NFL season with a third-down conversion percentage that was equal to better than the league average was in 2014 when their 42.98 percent was slightly better (by about 3.04 percent) than the league average of 39.94 percent.Thanks largely in part to their performance last week against the Texans in which the Giants converted 7 of 13 third-down attempts (54 percent), New York’s season-long third down conversion percentage is now at 44.19 percent.According to league stats, that’s way ahead of the league’s 38.98 percent average and is a figure that is currently the seventh-best mark in the NFL. Photo by Mike Lawrie/Getty ImagesLandon Collins’ “quiet” startAuthor and scholar Aaron Levenstein once summed up the love-hate relationship people have with statistics perfectly when he said, “Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital.”Thus far this year, Giants strong safety Landon Collins epitomizes that sentiment.Through three games, Collins, who is in a contract year, has recorded just 16 total tackles
http://www.newyorkgiantsteamonline.com/kareem-martin-jersey , an average of 5.3 per game which has him currently tied for 18th in the league among safeties who have played at least 150 snaps.Per Pro Football Focus, Collins, who has cut down each season since his rookie year on missed tackles — he went from 15 as a rookie to 13 in 2016 and then 10 last year — has already racked up two missed tackles in three games.Collins was only too happy to explain what he believed to be behind his “quiet” start.“Honestly, it’s just when teams see me down (in the box), they expect me to blitz,” he said. “It’s getting to the fact where I’m not going to get those free blitzes; I gotta fight for them. “But when I do get one, I’m going to definitely take advantage of it.”Still, that doesn’t mean that Collins doesn’t think he can get better every day, especially in coverage where he has allowed 75 percent of the pass targets against him to be complete for 77 yards (12.78 yards per catch). He’s also already given up one touchdown (after only allowing two all of 2016 and 2017) and has just one pass breakup for a (thus far) career high 144.3 NFL Rating.“When I get my opportunities with the ball in the sky, then yes, I gotta fight for them. But I don’t get many opportunities because teams know who I am,” he said.Also per Pro Football Focus, Collins has yet to record a pass pressure of any kind, this after recording double-digit pass pressures in each of his first three seasons.Given that Collins has historically been more of a box safety, it could be that those instances where he’s been caught in coverage have been a matter of the opponent getting the mismatch they desired. Collins said he’s perfectly fine if his numbers don’t match what he produced in his first three seasons so long as it means the Giants are winning.“It’s a team game, not an ‘I’ game,” he said. “We’re all gonna get stats in some way. I’m cool with it if I don’t have the 100 tackles because if we get the ‘W’ and are in the playoffs, then I’m good with not having 100 tackles I promise you.” Photo by Tim Warner/Getty ImagesSaquon inspiresRookie Saquon Barkley became the first player in franchise history to record more than 100 all-purpose yards from scrimmage in his first three games, yet the Giants are currently 1-2 in games played in which they’ve had a player with 100 or more all-purpose rushing yards.So that got me wondering just how important a player having 100 or more all-purpose yards really is to a game’s outcome. To find out, I went back to 2016 and looked at all 15 Giants regular-season wins over that period. What I found was that the Giants went 8-7 in games in which they had a player record 100 or more all-purpose yards, which would suggest that having such production isn’t necessarily a guarantee to win.However, where having a player record 100 or more all-purpose yards benefited the team over the sample period was in the scoring department. The Giants averaged 21.625 points per game in which they had a player go over 100 all-purpose yards. When they didn’t, they averaged 18.71 points per game.With the high-scoring Saints coming into town Sunday, the Giants probably would welcome having at least one if not more players on offense generating 100+ all-purpose yards.Offensive philosophy, Dave Gettleman’s decisions, 2019 NFL Draft on minds of Giants fans Odell Beckham Jr. is questioning his teammates with the New York Giants. Well
http://www.newyorkgiantsteamonline.com/aldrick-rosas-jersey , fans of the team have questions, too. Which is what our Big Blue View mailbag is for. So, let’s open it up and see what questions spill out.Ed says: Well, sure. They have a fullback [Elijhaa Penny]. They have enough tight ends. But, you’re telling me you want them to take Sterling Shepard off the field on a regular basis and replace him with a tight end or fullback? That’s not a good use of your personnel. The Giants need to give the ball to Saquon Barkley as a running back more than 10 times per game, but lining up play after play with a fullback, two tight ends and only a single wide receiver isn’t going to happen. Nor should it.Christopher Scott asks: Four games into the season and the revamped offensive line is still not allowing for big plays to develop. I understand there may not be a proven Pro Bowl lineman sitting at home waiting for a phone call. Are the Giants bringing anyone in during the week to try out, to at least kick the tires on some FA? Ed says: Christopher, I haven’t heard of workouts the past couple of weeks. That said, the Giants have added two offensive tackles — Brian Mihalik and Jylan Ware — to their practice squad in recent weeks. I’m sure they are aware of who is available. If they thought, however, that someone on the street was better than the players they have they would have signed him already. There is a reason guys are available at midseason — the other teams have judged them not to be worthy of a roster spot.Seth Weissman asks: Based entirely what you’ve seen from the Giants so far this season and assuming they finish with one of the 5 worst records in the league, if a top QB is available, would you draft him or an OT with the first pick in April’s draft?Also, I love Barkley, but can we all admit that since the Giants had decided to hold onto Eli as starting QB, they should have traded down in the first round and nabbed a different RB or Bradley Chubb and another OL?Ed says: Seth, I’m not going to commit to anything when it comes to the draft. There are 12 games yet to play. The college season is still in full swing. The draft is roughly seven months away. I haven’t, to be honest, studied a single college prospect. And I won’t for several months yet.I have no clue what I would do. There isn’t enough information at this point to make a decision. I don’t know where the Giants will be drafting, who will be available, how the players on the current Giants roster will perform the next 12 games, what free agents they will sign or lose. There’s just no point in worrying about, or trying to figure that out, now.As for the trade down scenario, I don’t think we should “all admit” that it’s what the Giants should have done. Saquon Barkley is a wonderful player. Trading down and adding picks is the scenario I would have preferred since the Giants weren’t selecting a quarterback
http://www.newyorkgiantsteamonline.com/will-hernandez-jersey , but they got four really good players at the top of their draft — Barkley, Will Hernandez, Lorenzo Carter, B.J. Hill. That haul is hard to complain about.Gino Phillips asks: What is solution to [Curtis] Riley’s play at safety?Ed says: On the current roster, I’m not sure there is one. The Giants let Darian Thompson and Andrew Adams go, and the only work either has been able to find is on practice squads. Which tells you the rest of the league wasn’t enamored of their abilities. Michael Thomas is not a free safety. Maybe the Giants give undrafted rookie Sean Chandler an opportunity eventually, but right now that’s about all they can do.The real answer is that they are going to have to look for an upgrade in the offseason, whether that is via free agency or the draft.I do understand why the Giants gave Riley the safety job. He is usually in center field, and the Giants wanted a player with range and cornerback skills. Riley has those. What he doesn’t have is the ability to tackle or take proper angles in pursuit of ballcarriers. Per Pro Football Focus, Riley already has six missed tackles in four games. He is missing one of every four tackles he attempts. For the guy who is the last line of defense — or for any NFL player, really — that isn’t going to cut it.CTscan123 asks: We had exactly 2 good players on our offensive line last year. We let them go and spent the money to retain them on the highest paid “average“ tackle in the league, A guard with no history of success, and over the hill running back, and a $10 million middle linebacker Who can’t cover. Then we let our promising replacement center go because we couldn’t afford him. Looks to me like we lost three good players, gained one overpriced average one and not much else worthwhile. Seems to me that excluding the draft pick, which we could have made anyway, that there is less talent on the offensive line this year than last year. How is this focusing on the line? Shouldn’t we already be shouting for Gettleman’s head?Ed says: No, fans shouldn’t be screaming for Gettleman’s head. Has every move he has made worked out perfectly? No. That’s the case for every GM of every sports team. The reality of it is the Giants have not been a good team for most of the past six or seven years. That doesn’t get fixed overnight.You wanted Gettleman to spend close to $100 million on Justin Pugh and Weston Richburg — the best players on an offensive line that has been terrible for years? That’s basically advocating the status quo. I happen to like both players, but the brutal truth is neither one plays the position where the Giants absolutely had to have help — left tackle — and neither one is worth the money they got paid. Pugh got five years and $45.025 million. Richburg got five years and $47.5 million.Right now, Pugh is PFF’s 73rd-ranked guard and has given up 15 quarterback pressures. Only three guards have given up more. Gettleman would be getting destroyed if he had given Pugh that kind of money for that kind of bad play. For all the complaints about him, Patrick Omameh (three years, $15 million) has given up nine pressures. Will Hernandez, drafted to play Pugh’s left guard spot, is PFF’s third-ranked guard overall.I’m not sure I like what the Giants did at center, but when you think you can adequately fill a position for $40+ million less than you would have had to pay Richburg, I can’t argue with that philosophy. As for how is it focusing on the line
http://www.newyorkgiantsteamonline.com/b.j.-goodson-jersey , I don’t see any starters (other than Chad Wheeler) who were in the lineup last year. So, yeah, that’s different. They’ve done a lot. Is it perfect, or finished? No, but they have only had one offseason to try and fix something former GM Jerry Reese couldn’t get right for most of a decade.Ed says: Ummm ... I think that’s what they’ve been doing. Quick, underneath throws to try and get yards after catch. They’ve been bowing to the idea that teams are playing soft and forcing the underneath stuff. They need to create more chunk plays, and one way to do that is run the ball more, force the defense to put extra guys at the line of scrimmage and open up lanes down the field. Bubble screens and quick stuff is what we’ve been seeing.JDatchko asks: With hindsight, worse move, signing Jonathan Stewart of trading Brett Jones? Ed says: It seems like many fans want to fry Gettleman for these two moves. Truth is, I understand both of them.I get why the Giants signed Jonathan Stewart. He’s a former first-round pick who has had a lot of success in the league. Gettleman knows him well, knows what kind of person he is, knows he was a good locker room presence in Carolina and knows that he can be a good influence on Saquon Barkley. By all accounts, he has been that for Barkley.When you take over a 3-13 team that had a fractured locker room and a losing culture, finding the right kind of veteran locker room leaders is critical. It’s a big part of why Stewart was signed.Now, did Gettleman overpay Stewart and misjudge how much ability he had left on the field? Yes to both questions. The Stewart contract is a bad one, and before he went on IR he hadn’t shown anything on the field. Again, though, I do understand why Gettleman wanted Stewart to be part of the 2018 Giants.As for Jones, I have also said before that I understand why the Giants traded him. I was surprised by the decision to start Jon Halapio over Jones. Once it was made, though, trading Jones made sense. The Giants were desperate for cap space, Jones was one of their few tradeable assets, and we’re finding out that John Greco is just fine at center. I had less problem with trading the guy than I did with not giving him the starting job to begin with. [E-mail Ed at
bigblueview@gmail.com or via the Big Blue View Contact Page | Follow Big Blue View on Twitter | ‘Like’ Big Blue View on Facebook | Follow Big Blue View on Instagram]